Perhaps my prediction earlier this week, 56-13 Cal over UCLA, was a little high. High but not unreasonable. Here is why.
Why UCLA will only score 13 points...
- UCLA's QB situation consists of these options
1) a one legged back up
2) a walk on that turned the ball over 4 times against Notre Dame
3) a QB turned WR turned QB (though still behind the walk on)
- UCLA's starting running back, Chris Markey, is injured (he might play but is listed at 4th in the depth chart and can't really plant his foot.)
- The Bruins' offense has scored 16 offensive touchdowns this season.
Let's just say that I don't see the Bruin offensive machine kicking into high gear this week.
Why Cal will score at least 56 points...
- UCLA's defensive line has been decimated by injuries. This was a strength of the defense.
- UCLA's defense ranks 9th in the nation in rushing D. Good for them. Oregon St. was ranked 3rd in the nation in rushing D and Forsett had no problem getting his 150 against them.
- Cal offense should score 35 points on its own. (2 Forsett TD's, 1 Jackson TD, 1 Jordan TD (possible Stevens TD here), 1 Best TD off a long run)
- UCLA will turn the ball over at least twice (one of which will result in a defensive TD)
- Special teams will produce a TD (Jackson, Hawkins, Best... it is about time one of them broke another one).
- Hmmm... ok I will lower the prediction to 49 - 13.